Republicans
like their candidates to have gone through the legitimacy of losing before they
finally win the prize of the nomination. Romney, McCain, Dole, Bush 41, Reagan
and Nixon all lost before they eventually got nominated.
Of the alumni class of 2012, only Perry can really stake a claim. Santorum was too much of a fringe candidate, and Romney would face big obstacles in convincing us to trust him again.
So, while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio duke it out for the Tea Party nod as the insurgent Republican, look for Perry, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, and possibly former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush to battle it out for the establishment designation.
Then the winners will meet in the semifinals. With Bush uncertain about running and Christie hobbled by his bridge scandal, the early betting has to be Perry vs. Cruz -- an all-Texas runoff.
Of the alumni class of 2012, only Perry can really stake a claim. Santorum was too much of a fringe candidate, and Romney would face big obstacles in convincing us to trust him again.
So, while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio duke it out for the Tea Party nod as the insurgent Republican, look for Perry, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, and possibly former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush to battle it out for the establishment designation.
Then the winners will meet in the semifinals. With Bush uncertain about running and Christie hobbled by his bridge scandal, the early betting has to be Perry vs. Cruz -- an all-Texas runoff.
~
Dick Morris
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