How much are
you willing to bet on Pascal’s wager?
Either life is this short,
sensory-overloaded headlong plunge into YOLO, followed by nothing, or it’s just
the very tip of a journey to infinity. The fulcrum upon which our choice
balances is whether we believe that the universe was created by an uncaused,
all-powerful, intelligent agent or it’s just here as a result of its own
accident.
Since none of us was here when the “Big
Bang” happened, we can’t rely on reason to provide an answer.
The wager is simple.
1. God is, or God is not. Reason cannot
decide between the two alternatives.
2. A Game is being played… where heads or tails will turn up.
3. You must wager (it is not optional). We all die.
4. Let us weigh the gain and the loss in wagering that God is. Let us estimate these two chances. If you gain, you gain all; if you lose, you lose nothing.
2. A Game is being played… where heads or tails will turn up.
3. You must wager (it is not optional). We all die.
4. Let us weigh the gain and the loss in wagering that God is. Let us estimate these two chances. If you gain, you gain all; if you lose, you lose nothing.
Wager,
then, without hesitation that He is. (…) There is here an infinity of an
infinitely happy life to gain, a chance of gain against a finite number of
chances of loss, and what you stake is finite. And so our proposition is of
infinite force, when there is the finite to stake in a game where there are
equal risks of gain and of loss, and the infinite to gain.
You can either live your one life as if
there is no God, and die with an equal chance of missing an infinity of
happiness, trading it for an infinity of judgment and separation from God. Or
you can live your one life as if God exists, giving up even all that you
possess in order to attain an eternal reward.
If you give up all and are wrong, you’ve
only lost a few common and fleeting pleasures in your one life, which you still
lived happily believing for a reward. Really, you’ve lost nothing that you
didn’t have to begin with. But if you give up the eternal reward and are wrong,
you’ve lost everything.
That’s a bet I would not, could not, cover.
Nobody could. All the riches of the world could not be enough to cover that
wager. It’s not a safe bet, ever.
Faith in a God that cannot be proven
rationally is not rational. However, belief that you should have
faith is perfectly reasonable, as Pascal, a mathematician and philosopher, laid
out in an airtight argument. Even Pascal acknowledged that not all can
believe–that faith is an irrational action of the mind. He addressed it this
way.
But at
least learn your inability to believe, since reason brings you to this, and yet
you cannot believe. Endeavour then to convince yourself, not by increase of
proofs of God, but by the abatement of your passions. You would like to attain
faith, and do not know the way; you would like to cure yourself of unbelief,
and ask the remedy for it. Learn of those who have been bound like you, and who
now stake all their possessions. These are people who know the way which you
would follow, and who are cured of an ill of which you would be cured. Follow
the way by which they began; by acting as if they believed, taking the holy
water, having masses said, etc. Even this will naturally make you believe, and
deaden your acuteness.
Pascal’s wager does not hinge on whether you
do believe now–it hinges on your conclusion that you ought to believe
because it’s the only rational action. Once you have considered this, you
should begin to see others, who have given up their own lives for the sake of
the Gospel, not as fools, but as the wisest people on Earth.
One day, we all become the ultimate
statistic: 10 out of 10 of us will die. How will you answer Pascal’s
wager?
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