Democrats of the Obama era are united by cultural
liberalism, but above all else they agree on the goal of expanding the
reach of government. The Democratic Leadership Council, the centrist idea
shop of the Clinton years, is moribund. The vanguard of ideas for the Obama
White House is the Center for American Progress, which churns out proposals for
government to mediate every sphere of economic life.
In this view, the entire American
economy is a giant market failure—except perhaps Silicon Valley. Health-care
costs can be controlled by dictating prices and medical practice. The climate
can be controlled by putting coal out of business and subsidizing wind, solar
and ethanol. Wall Street can be controlled by more rules and hanging the
occasional banker in the public square as an example.
Most important, government
spending can conjure private growth by "investing" in whatever seems
like a good idea. So taxes must rise and rise again to pay for these
"investments."
While a wave of GOP Governors
elected in 2010 have been reforming government, Democrats in Illinois,
Maryland, Connecticut and California are bent on protecting every corner of
government they can. The first three have raised taxes enormously, and Jerry
Brown is desperate to get voter approval in November so he can raise the top
income-tax rate in California to 13.3%.
There are
very few Chris Christie Democrats. The closest might be Andrew Cuomo in New
York, but his productive first year has given way to status-quo accommodations
to unions on school and pension reform and a tax increase. This reflects
today's Democratic coalition, which is dominated by affluent cultural liberals,
voters who depend on government, and especially public-employee unions.
Here and there in the
hinterlands, you can see a glimpse of new Democratic thinking. Gloria Romero in
California wants to reduce the power of teachers unions, and treasurer Gina
Raimondo dared to rein in public pension benefits in Rhode Island. Even
President Obama sometimes sounds like a reformer on education, until election
years when he resorts to proposing more federal spending to hire more teachers.
in Charlotte, where the message
will be four more years of more of the same. The main theme is to preserve the
government that Democrats have expanded. Democrats made a generational bet in
2009-2010 that the country was ready to be yanked sharply to the left, and they
know that nearly all of their grand ambitions will be undone if Mr. Obama
loses.
Yet the liberals who dominate the
party believe that if Mr. Obama wins, however narrowly, their gamble will have
been a great success. They may have lost the House in 2010, and perhaps they'll
lose the Senate this year, but those can be won back.
Meanwhile, ObamaCare won't be
repealed, its subsidies will start to flow in 2014, and then another huge chunk
of the private economy and voting public will be dependent on the government
for decades to come. Nancy Pelosi will take her bows as an icon of the
entitlement state.
Thus the frowning resolve to
grind out a victory by whatever means possible. It's hardly an optimistic
vision and it's far from commanding the oceans, but if Democrats win, what
you've seen is what you'll get.
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